7 investment lessons from Mom. Part 2.
4) If Everyone Jumped Off The Cliff – Would You Do It Too?
At one point or another, we have all tried with our Mom’s what every other kid has tried to since the beginning of time – the use of “peer pressure.” I figured if she wouldn’t let me do what I wanted, then surely she would bend to the will of the imaginary masses. She never did.
“Peer pressure” is one of the biggest mistakes investors repeatedly make when investing. Chasing the latest “hot stocks” or “investment fads” that are already overvalued and are running up on speculative fervor almost always end in disappointment.
In the financial markets, investors get sucked into buying stocks that have already moved significantly off their lows because they are afraid of “missing out.” This is speculating, gambling, guessing, hoping, praying – anything but investing. Generally, by the time the media begins featuring a particular investment, individuals have already missed the major part of the move. By that point, the probabilities of a decline began to outweigh the possibility of further rewards.
It is a well-known fact that the market works in what is called a “herd mentality.” Historically, investors all tend to run in one direction at one time until that direction falters, the “herd” then turns and runs in the opposite direction. This continues to the detriment of investor’s returns over long periods and this is also generally why investors wind up buying high and selling low. In order to be a long-term successful investor, you have to understand the “herd mentality” and use it to your benefit – which means getting out from in front of the herd before you are trampled.
So, before you chase a stock that has already moved 100% or more – try and figure out where the herd may move to next and “place your bets there.” This takes discipline, patience and a lot of homework – but you will be well rewarded for you efforts in the end.
5) Don’t Talk To Strangers
This is just good solid advice all the way around. Turn on the television, anytime of the day or night, and it is the“Stranger’s Parade of Malicious Intent”. I don’t know if it is just me, or the fact the media only broadcast news that reveals the very depths of human sickness and depravity, but sometimes I have to wonder if we are not due for a planetary cleansing through divine intervention.
Back to investing – getting your stock tips from strangers is a sure way to lose money in the stock market. Your investing homework should NOT consist of a daily regimen of financial media, followed by a dose of taxi driver tips, capped off with a financial advisor’s sales pitch.
In order to be successful in the long-run, you must understand the principals of investing and the catalysts which will make that investment profitable in the future. Remember, when you invest into a company you are buying a piece of that company and its business plan. You are placing your hard earned dollars into the belief the individuals managing the company have your best interests at heart. The hope is they will operate in such a manner as to make your investment more valuable so that it may be sold to someone else for a profit.
This is also the very embodiment of the “Greater Fool Theory,” which states that there will always be someone willing to buy an investment at an ever higher price. However, in the end, there is always someone left “holding the bag”, the trick is making sure that it isn’t you.
Also, you need to be aware that when getting advice from the investment bank experts who tell you about a company that you should buy – they already own it – and most likely they will be the ones selling their shares to you.
6) You Either Need To “Do It” (polite version) Or Get Off The Pot!
When I was growing up I hated to do my homework, which is ironic, since I now do more homework now than I ever dreamed of in my younger days. Since I did not like doing homework – school projects were almost never started until the night before they were due. I was the king of procrastination.
My Mom was always there to help, giving me a hand and an ear full of motherly advice, usually consisting of a lot of“because I told you so…”
I find it interesting that many investors tend to watch stocks for a very long period of time, never acting on their analysis, buy rather idly watching as their instinct proves correct and the stock rises in price.
The investor then feels that he missed his entry point and decides to wait, hoping the stock will go back down one more time so that he can get in. The stock continues to rise, the investor continues to watch becoming more and more frustrated until he finally capitulates on his emotion and buys the investment near the top.
Procrastination, on the way up and on the way down, are harbingers of emotional duress derived from the loss of opportunity or the destruction of capital.
However, if you do your homework and can build a case for the purchase, don’t procrastinate. If you miss your opportunity for the right entry into the position – don’t chase it. Leave it alone and come back another day when the Price Is Right.
7) Don’t Play With It – You’ll Go Blind
Well…do I really need to go into this one? All I know for sure is that I am not blind today. What I will never know for sure is whether she believed it; or if was just meant to scare the hell out of me.
When you invest into the financial markets it is very easy to lose sight of what your intentions were in the first place. Getting caught up in the hype, getting sucked in by the emotions of fear and greed, and generally being confused by the multitude of options available, causes you to lose your focus on the very basic principle that you started with – growing your small pile of money into a much larger one.
There is obviously a lot more to managing your own portfolio than just the principles that we learned from our Mothers. However, this is a start in the right direction, and if you don’t believe me – just ask your Mother.
Some quotes first:
1. Activist investor Jeff Ubben has left ValueAct Capital, the $16bn hedge fund he founded, to launch a new environmental and social impact investment company.
2. „Companies, as governed today, with investors asking for more current returns and more buybacks and so forth, aren’t working for society or nature,“ he said. „But I have to prove that there’s a return [in long-term impact], because otherwise . . . you’re not really changing anything.“ <..> „Finance is, like, done. Everybody’s bought everybody else with low-cost debt. Everybody’s maximised their margin. They’ve bought all their shares back . . . There’s nothing there. Every industry has about three players.“
3. Having an impact fund and a traditional fund under the same roof at ValueAct was „confusing“ for investors, Mr Ubben said. Those who opted for the impact vehicle worried they were leaving returns on the table, and those who opted for the flagship fund worried that about being portrayed as environmentally or socially „unconscious“. „I don’t think these two strategies peacefully coexist,“ said Mr Ubben.
Second, that was the essence. If RE investments are driven by "location", "location", "location" mantra, then in "ordinary" investing it is not only "return", "return", “return" anymore. I have been following for the last few years already an emerging and quite fast growing trend in hedge funds space to invest if not "for" then at last "with" social and/or environmental impact in mind. And that will benefit all of us. Even those who are far away from investing.
#bitcoin #cryptos #CryptoFunds
Yes, you noted it correctly, the post below is on crypto funds. You might start saying cryptos are for dummies, any rational investor should avoid them, they have no any value and it's just a speculative bubble.
Pause here for a second. For as long as investors do allocate a portion of their portfolios to crypto currencies, tokens and / or crypto funds it's worth taking a look at the different alternatives and their performance. Last year I invested myself into 1 crypto currency, 1 crypto fund and 1 token directly. Traded few more. A fund employs a long/short strategy and I want to be ready when the recent bubble bursts from it's short side (or gain further if it continues from it's long side). Token is a spicy ingredient in my portfolio with tenfold raise since my first investment in May'20. Cryptocurrency is 1:1 backed by USD and yields 22-26% p.a. with daily payouts. Nothing to compare to 10x over 9 months, but still mind blowing if you compare to ''cash'' yields.
What about fund performance then? A fund I'm invested with still has a too short track record to draw any meaningful conclusions. So let's take a look at the whole market.
As per Crypto Fund Research, crypto funds were again the hottest investment managers in 2020, gaining more than 160% on the year. However, bitcoin performed significantly better than the CFR Crypto Fund Index, which measures the performance of a basket of 70+ crypto funds.
So did crypto hedge funds actually underperform? As in any case where you don't now a quick answer but still want to look smart enough, you say "It depends". So the answer to the last question is ''it depends''. And let me explain why.
Crypto hedge funds, as many other funds, are supposed to manage risk in the sometimes extremely volatile markets. As you know, cryptocurrencies and volatility go hand to hand. This typically results in significant outperformance when Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies decline and underperformance when they rise considerably as they did in 2020.
Crypto funds also operate a number of strategies - some strategies like arbitrage are essentially market neutral and will almost always underperform a long-portfolio in bull markets and outperform in bear markets.
In fact, since the beginning of 2017 crypto funds have gained 2,812% vs. 2909% for Bitcon (Crypto Fund Research's calculations). Over multiple market cycles, crypto funds have kept pace with Bitcoin's gains. But here's the important part... they've done so with far less volatility than Bitcoin. And this is exactly what all investors hope for.
Crypto funds' ability to manage risk was never more clear than during 2018's "crypto winter". While Bitcoin's price fell 75% from its peak. Crypto funds lost less than 50%. While most investors don't cheer a 50% loss, they likely took solice knowing had they been fully exposed to Bitcoin they would have lost far more.
Still, crypto funds are a risky investment and most suitable for institutions and sophisticated investors. Thus, have a double or even triple eye when selecting particular fund and stay well invested.
Electric Vehicle Investment Roadmap
- Electric Vehicles (EVs) are an emerging set of technologies with enormous potential to transform transportation.
- As such, EV companies represent significant opportunities for investors who can determine when and where to invest in this complex market.
- This article provides an investor roadmap to more than two dozen varied investment opportunities.
- These opportunities go beyond investing in Tesla, and look at the auto manufacturers, new US start-ups, Chinese EV companies, and supporting industries.
- As in all investments, considerations of the companies strategies, valuations, and investment timing are critical; especially with the volatility of these investments.